Seanan McGuire (seanan_mcguire) wrote,
Seanan McGuire
seanan_mcguire
  • Mood: chipper
  • Music: Vixy and Tony, "Anna."

DEADLINE open thread. Have a party.

To celebrate the release of Deadline [Amazon]|[Mysterious Galaxy], here. Have an open thread to discuss the book.

THERE WILL BE SPOILERS.

Seriously. If anyone comments here at all, THERE WILL BE SPOILERS. So please don't read and then yell at me because you encountered spoilers. You were warned.

You can also start a book discussion at my website forums, with less need to be concerned that I will see everything you say! In case you wanted, you know, discussion free of authorial influence. I will probably answer a great many comments. I may not answer all of them.

Have fun!
Tags: deadline, mira grant
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Re: Spoilery, of course!

liret

June 8 2011, 00:16:22 UTC 6 years ago

Oh man, I didn't even think of that. How many tens of thousands of people did they need to study to get that accurate?

Re: Spoilery, of course!

hasufin

June 8 2011, 00:21:19 UTC 6 years ago

Probably not nearly as many as you'd think. I'm not familiar with how the "X in Y-thousand" probabilities are reached, but that seems like an extrapolatory figure, not interpolatory - in other words, their sample size was considerably less than 10,000 and they did some mathematical work to figure out what the real number should be.

Of course, It's not impossible that they got that figure by interpolation - plenty of people do Amplify, and the CDC gets blood test results for all of them.